Pianese vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pianese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pianese vs Vado?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Pianese (1,851) and Vado (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pianese have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Vado have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 0-6 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 30, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 24, 2026 | Barletta(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Vado | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pianese vs Vado?
- The Footlab model makes Vado the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Pianese.
- Where and when is Pianese vs Vado played?
- Pianese vs Vado is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.