Spezia vs Campobasso FC: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab model makes Campobasso FC the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Spezia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Campobasso FC?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Spezia (1,829) and Campobasso FC (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Campobasso FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cavese(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Campobasso FC score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Campobasso FC | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Campobasso FC | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Campobasso FC?
- The Footlab model makes Campobasso FC the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Spezia.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Campobasso FC played?
- Spezia vs Campobasso FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.