Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina, Valleggia
The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Vado. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Vado (1,852) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vado
4-3-3- 11D. Vita
- 31M. Ferro
- 95I. Cernigoi
- 28Z. Hamlili
- 27D. Hergheligiu
- 17Mirko Lazzarini
- 14F. Gulinelli
- 5Mirko Saltarelli
- 18L. Piana
- 29F. Saiani
- 22A. Bellocci
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 20P. Giannotti
- 23A. Murgia
- 2S. Esempio
- 26R. Baroni
- 33D. Borghini
- 11O. Viteritti
- 25G. Drago
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vado have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pescara(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vado score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vado | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vado sit 11th in Serie C - Girone B (12 points from 10 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 5th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Vado | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Vado.
- Where and when is Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Vado vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.