Pineto vs Reggiana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, Pineto
The Footlab model makes Pineto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Reggiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pineto vs Reggiana?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Pineto (1,778) and Reggiana (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pineto have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Reggiana have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pineto score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Reggiana score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pineto | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Reggiana | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pineto sit 14th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Reggiana sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pineto vs Reggiana?
- The Footlab model makes Pineto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Reggiana.
- Where and when is Pineto vs Reggiana played?
- Pineto vs Reggiana is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mimmo Pavone, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.