Pinneberg vs Buchholz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Buchholz. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinneberg vs Buchholz?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Pinneberg (1,771) and Buchholz (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Buchholz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 4-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinneberg score 3.2 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 5; Buchholz score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinneberg | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| Buchholz | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buchholz | 34 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 87 | 80 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs Buchholz?
- The Footlab model makes Pinneberg the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 35% for Buchholz.
- Where and when is Pinneberg vs Buchholz played?
- Pinneberg vs Buchholz is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.