HEBC vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for HEBC. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HEBC vs Paloma?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HEBC vs Paloma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HEBC
4-3-3- 15Janek Wrede
- 7Tjorven Bastian Dan Köhler
- 20P. Onnen
- 11Hammed Nawaz
- 8Piet Oldag
- 17Robert Schick
- 33Christopher Grunewald
- 24Julius Emil Stegemann
- 18Jorma Eggers
- 27Lionel Zitzewitz
- 12J. Schoon
Paloma
4-3-3- 10V. Galica
- 9D. Schiemann
- 15Torben Hindersmann
- 6C. Wegner
- 19M. Krause
- 13A. Graf
- 8H. Brückner
- 14Tore Gersch
- 17Sven Drews
- 7F. Kramer
- 1Y. Jonas
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HEBC have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Paloma have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 HEBC wins, 0 draws, 2 Paloma wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | HEBC 1-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Paloma 1-0 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Paloma 0-1 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 20, 2024 | HEBC 3-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | HEBC 2-0 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Paloma 1-4 HEBC | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
HEBC score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEBC | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Paloma | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HEBC sit 13th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 13 | HEBC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 66 | 38 |
A question about HEBC vs Paloma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HEBC vs Paloma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paloma the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for HEBC.
- Where and when is HEBC vs Paloma played?
- HEBC vs Paloma is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Professor-Reinmüller-Platz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.