Sasel vs Concordia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Concordia. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Concordia?
Sasel starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Concordia have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Alsterbrüder(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sasel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Concordia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | Concordia 1-3 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sasel 4-2 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Concordia 0-4 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Sasel 3-4 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Sasel 3-1 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Concordia 0-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Concordia score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Concordia | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Concordia?
- The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 62%, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Concordia played?
- Sasel vs Concordia is played on November 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.