Kirchanschöring vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Alte Mühle, Kirchanschöring
The Footlab model makes Kirchanschöring the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kirchanschöring vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Kirchanschöring (1,772) and Sportfreunde Schwaig (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kirchanschöring have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kirchanschöring win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 1-1 Kirchanschöring | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 2-3 Kirchanschöring | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Kirchanschöring 5-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Kirchanschöring on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kirchanschöring score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirchanschöring | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kirchanschöring sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (58 points from 32 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kirchanschöring | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 67 | 35 | 58 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kirchanschöring vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes Kirchanschöring the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is Kirchanschöring vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- Kirchanschöring vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Alte Mühle, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.