Pistoiese vs Progresso: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
Full time
What was the result of Pistoiese vs Progresso?
Pistoiese won 2-1 on October 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′?Pistoiese
- 48′Alfonso SelleriProgresso (pen.)
- 64′?Pistoiese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Progresso have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Forli(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Sansepolcro(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Mezzolara(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Sammaurese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Fanfulla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Borgo San Donnino(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Prato(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Calcio Certaldo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Borgo San Donnino(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Progresso | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (68 points from 33 matches) and Progresso sit 12th (36 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistoiese | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 68 |
| 12 | Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 41 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy