Piteå W vs Malmö FF W: prediction and stats
DamallsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LF Arena, Piteå
The Footlab model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Piteå W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piteå W vs Malmö FF W?
Malmö FF W starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piteå W have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Malmö FF W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uppsala W(home) | 5-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby W(away) | 0-5 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Häcken W(home) | 1-4 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Malmö FF W(away) | 0-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Hammarby W(home) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hammarby W(home) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uppsala W(away) | 6-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vålerenga W(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Piteå W(home) | 0-0 | Damallsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Piteå W win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Malmö FF W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Malmö FF W 0-0 Piteå W | Damallsvenskan |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Malmö FF W 2-3 Piteå W | Svenska Cupen - Women |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Malmö FF W 1-2 Piteå W | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Piteå W 0-3 Malmö FF W | Damallsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Malmö FF W vs Piteå W on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piteå W score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Malmö FF W score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piteå W | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Malmö FF W | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piteå W sit 8th in Damallsvenskan (18 points from 15 matches) and Malmö FF W sit 3rd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Piteå W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Piteå W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piteå W vs Malmö FF W?
- The Footlab model makes Malmö FF W the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Piteå W.
- Where and when is Piteå W vs Malmö FF W played?
- Piteå W vs Malmö FF W is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LF Arena, in the Damallsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.