Platges Calvià vs Formentera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Formentera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Platges Calvià wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Platges Calvià (1,826) and Formentera (1,892).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platges Calvià vs Formentera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Formentera
Not enough data to predict the Formentera lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platges Calvià have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Formentera have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Platges Calvià win, 2 draws, 3 Formentera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Platges Calvià 0-2 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Formentera 2-2 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Formentera 3-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Platges Calvià 0-1 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Formentera 1-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Platges Calvià 2-1 Formentera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Formentera on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platges Calvià score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Formentera score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platges Calvià | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Formentera | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platges Calvià sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (15 points from 7 matches) and Formentera sit 7th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Platges Calvià | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Formentera | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platges Calvià vs Formentera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Formentera.
- Where and when is Platges Calvià vs Formentera played?
- Platges Calvià vs Formentera is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.