Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido played?

Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Playas Sotavento

Panadería Pulido

The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Panadería Pulido. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,746) and Panadería Pulido (1,809).

Playas Sotavento win48 %

Draw28 %

Panadería Pulido win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido?: The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Panadería Pulido.
Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido played?: Playas Sotavento vs Panadería Pulido is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.