Where and when is Lanzarote vs Marino played?

Lanzarote vs Marino is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lanzarote vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías

Lanzarote

Marino

The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanzarote vs Marino?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,782) and Marino (1,704).

Lanzarote win59 %

Draw25 %

Marino win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanzarote
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Bartolomé(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lanzarote win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Marino win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Marino 1-1 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 5, 2025	Lanzarote 2-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 11, 2025	Lanzarote 3-0 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 11, 2025	Marino 2-4 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 21, 2024	Lanzarote 4-0 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Dec 3, 2023	Marino 2-7 Lanzarote	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Marino vs Lanzarote on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lanzarote	0.8	1.0	4	8/15	3/15
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lanzarote sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (48 points from 34 matches) and Marino sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45	36	48
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Marino?: The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Marino.
Where and when is Lanzarote vs Marino played?: Lanzarote vs Marino is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.