Lanzarote vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lanzarote wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Marino?
On Elo ratings, Lanzarote has 1,718 points and Marino 1,653.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Marino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 10 draws and 2 defeats; Marino have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lanzarote wins, 1 draw, 0 Marino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Marino 1-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Lanzarote 2-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 11, 2025 | Lanzarote 3-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Marino 2-4 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lanzarote 4-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Marino 2-7 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 2/15 |
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (6 points from 4 matches) and Marino sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
A question about Lanzarote vs Marino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Marino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Marino.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Marino played?
- Lanzarote vs Marino is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026MensajerovsSan Fernando CD
- Oct 25, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsLos Llanos
- Oct 25, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsLaguna de Duero
- Oct 25, 2026EstrellavsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Oct 25, 2026Playas SotaventovsPanadería Pulido
- Oct 25, 2026Tenerife CvsLas Palmas III
- Oct 25, 2026San MiguelvsVillaverde Norte
- Oct 25, 2026AnazavsSan Bartolomé