Estrella vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panadería Pulido wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Panadería Pulido?
Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,605).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs Panadería Pulido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Panadería Pulido
Not enough data to predict the Panadería Pulido lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Mensajero(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anaza(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Estrella wins, 2 draws, 2 Panadería Pulido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Estrella 1-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Panadería Pulido 2-0 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Estrella 0-0 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Estrella on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Panadería Pulido | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 7 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Estrella | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs Panadería Pulido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Panadería Pulido?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Estrella.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Panadería Pulido played?
- Estrella vs Panadería Pulido is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 22, 2026LanzarotevsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Nov 22, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsPlayas Sotavento
- Nov 22, 2026San BartolomévsLas Palmas III
- Nov 22, 2026Tenerife CvsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Nov 22, 2026San MiguelvsLos Llanos
- Nov 22, 2026AnazavsMarino
- Nov 22, 2026Villaverde NortevsSan Fernando CD