Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, Plopeni
The Footlab AI model makes Plopeni the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Progresul Draganesti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plopeni wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Plopeni (1,434) and Progresul Draganesti (1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plopeni
Not enough data to predict the Plopeni lineup.
Progresul Draganesti
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Draganesti lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plopeni have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Progresul Draganesti have 3, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berca(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plopeni(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Plopeni wins, 0 draws, 1 Progresul Draganesti win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti 4-2 Plopeni | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Draganesti vs Plopeni on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plopeni score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Draganesti score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plopeni | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Progresul Draganesti | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plopeni sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 3 (10 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Draganesti sit 5th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plopeni the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Progresul Draganesti.
- Where and when is Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti played?
- Plopeni vs Progresul Draganesti is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.