Progresul Draganesti vs Berca: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Draganesti the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Berca. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Draganesti vs Berca?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Progresul Draganesti (1,512) and Berca (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Draganesti vs Berca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Draganesti
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Draganesti lineup.
Berca
Not enough data to predict the Berca lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Progresul Draganesti have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Berca have 5, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berca(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plopeni(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 4-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Blejoi(away) | 1-6 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Progresul Draganesti wins, 0 draws, 1 Berca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berca 3-0 Progresul Draganesti | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Berca vs Progresul Draganesti on Sep 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Draganesti score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Berca score 2.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Draganesti | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Berca | 2.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/10 | 9/10 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Draganesti sit 5th in Liga III - Serie 3 (11 points from 7 matches) and Berca sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Progresul Draganesti vs Berca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Draganesti vs Berca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Draganesti the favourite at 45%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Berca.
- Where and when is Progresul Draganesti vs Berca played?
- Progresul Draganesti vs Berca is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.