Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Păulești
The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Păuleşti. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni is a heavy favourite: 1,735 Elo points against 1,392, a 343-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Păuleşti
Not enough data to predict the Păuleşti lineup.
Flacăra Moreni
Not enough data to predict the Flacăra Moreni lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Păuleşti have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Blejoi(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Păuleşti wins, 2 draws, 2 Flacăra Moreni wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni 1-1 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Păuleşti 2-1 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Flacăra Moreni 1-1 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 1-0 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Păuleşti 4-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 11, 2024 | Păuleşti 1-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Flacăra Moreni vs Păuleşti on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Păuleşti score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 3.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Păuleşti | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 3.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Păuleşti sit 12th in Liga III - Serie 3 (2 points from 7 matches) and Flacăra Moreni sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Păuleşti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
A question about Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Păuleşti.
- Where and when is Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Păuleşti vs Flacăra Moreni is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.