Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Manadon Sports Hub, Plymouth, Devon
The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Plymouth Parkway (1,812) and Gosport Borough (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth Parkway have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Plymouth Parkway win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Gosport Borough 3-6 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway 1-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 3-2 Gosport Borough | FA Trophy |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gosport Borough 0-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Gosport Borough 1-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth Parkway sit 5th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth Parkway the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough played?
- Plymouth Parkway vs Gosport Borough is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Manadon Sports Hub, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027UxbridgevsHanworth Villa
- Apr 17, 2027Basingstoke TownvsFrome Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bracknell TownvsHanwell Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chertsey TownvsBath City
- Apr 17, 2027Chichester CityvsYate Town
- Apr 17, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHavant & Wville
- Apr 17, 2027SholingvsWimborne Town
- Apr 17, 2027Chippenham TownvsTaunton Town