Plymouth vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 15, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
Full time
What was the result of Plymouth vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. HarnessDerby
- 26′H. ArmstrongDerby
- 38′M. BunduPlymouth
- 46′N. PhillipsPlymouth (o.g.)
- 88′M. HarnessDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Hull City(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Manchester City(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | Coventry(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2025 | QPR(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Plymouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Derby 1-1 Plymouth | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2023 | Plymouth 2-1 Derby | League One |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Derby 2-3 Plymouth | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy