Millwall vs Stoke City: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Stoke City?
Millwall won 1-0 on March 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′M. IvanovićMillwall (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Coventry(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Watford(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | Stoke City 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Stoke City 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Millwall 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Stoke City 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Millwall 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Stoke City 2-0 Millwall | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Millwall on Nov 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 2nd in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Stoke City sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Stoke City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy