Pobeda vs Vardar Negotino: result 0-1 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Goce Delčev, Prilep
Full time
What was the result of Pobeda vs Vardar Negotino?
Vardar Negotino won 0-1 on April 5, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobeda have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Vardar Negotino have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Ohrid(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Belasica(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Makedonija GjP(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Detonit Plachkovica(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(away) | 2-5 | Second League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Kozuv Gevgelija(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Ohrid(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Skopje(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pobeda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vardar Negotino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Vardar Negotino 1-2 Pobeda | Second League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Pobeda 1-1 Vardar Negotino | Second League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Vardar Negotino 3-2 Pobeda | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Vardar Negotino vs Pobeda on Oct 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pobeda score 0.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vardar Negotino score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobeda | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Vardar Negotino | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pobeda sit 15th in Second League (11 points from 30 matches) and Vardar Negotino sit 12th (22 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 95 | 22 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 19 | 117 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy