Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
The Footlab model makes Bratslav Vinnytsia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,496) and Bratslav Vinnytsia (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Bratslav Vinnytsia have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 4-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(home) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bratslav Vinnytsia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia 3-2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Bratslav Vinnytsia vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bratslav Vinnytsia score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bratslav Vinnytsia | 2.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 6th in Druha Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Bratslav Vinnytsia sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia?
- The Footlab model makes Bratslav Vinnytsia the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
- Where and when is Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia played?
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Podillia, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.