Rebel vs Atlet: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shkilnyi, Illichivsk
The Footlab model makes Rebel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Atlet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rebel vs Atlet?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Rebel (1,541) and Atlet (1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rebel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlet have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 3-5 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Chayka(away) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trostianets(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 15, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 6, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rebel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Atlet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atlet 2-3 Rebel | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rebel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlet score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebel | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlet | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rebel sit 7th in Druha Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Atlet sit 8th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rebel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 8 | Atlet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rebel vs Atlet?
- The Footlab model makes Rebel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Atlet.
- Where and when is Rebel vs Atlet played?
- Rebel vs Atlet is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shkilnyi, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.