Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia
The Footlab model makes SC Poltava 2 the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Metalurh Zaporizhya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2?
SC Poltava 2 starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurh Zaporizhya have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; SC Poltava 2 have 2, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Metalurh Zaporizhya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SC Poltava 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | SC Poltava 2 0-0 Metalurh Zaporizhya | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Poltava 2 vs Metalurh Zaporizhya on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurh Zaporizhya score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Poltava 2 score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| SC Poltava 2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurh Zaporizhya sit 6th in Druha Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and SC Poltava 2 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2?
- The Footlab model makes SC Poltava 2 the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Where and when is Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2 played?
- Metalurh Zaporizhya vs SC Poltava 2 is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Slavutych-Arena, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.