Podvinci vs Ljutomer: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Podvinci, Podvici
The Footlab model makes Podvinci the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ljutomer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podvinci vs Ljutomer?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Podvinci (1,421) and Ljutomer (1,419).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podvinci have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ljutomer have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šampion Celje(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odranci(home) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Šmartno(home) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odranci(away) | 1-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dobrovce(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Videm(home) | 6-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Dobrovce(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Rogaška(home) | 6-2 | 3. SNL - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Podvinci win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ljutomer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ljutomer 1-1 Podvinci | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Podvinci 1-0 Ljutomer | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Podvinci score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ljutomer score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podvinci | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ljutomer | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podvinci sit 12th in 3. SNL - East (1 points from 2 matches) and Ljutomer sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ljutomer | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Podvinci | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podvinci vs Ljutomer?
- The Footlab model makes Podvinci the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Ljutomer.
- Where and when is Podvinci vs Ljutomer played?
- Podvinci vs Ljutomer is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Podvinci, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.