Pohronie vs Šamorín: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom, Žiar nad Hronom
The Footlab model makes Pohronie the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Šamorín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pohronie vs Šamorín?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Pohronie (1,658) and Šamorín (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pohronie have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Šamorín have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(away) | 3-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 4-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rohožník(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pohronie win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Šamorín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Pohronie 1-0 Šamorín | 2. liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Šamorín 1-1 Pohronie | 2. liga |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Pohronie 3-1 Šamorín | 2. liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Šamorín 2-0 Pohronie | 2. liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Pohronie 2-0 Šamorín | 2. liga |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Šamorín 5-3 Pohronie | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pohronie score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Šamorín score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohronie | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Šamorín | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pohronie sit 8th in 2. liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Šamorín sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Šamorín | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Pohronie | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pohronie vs Šamorín?
- The Footlab model makes Pohronie the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Šamorín.
- Where and when is Pohronie vs Šamorín played?
- Pohronie vs Šamorín is played on May 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.