Poland vs Croatia: result 3-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 15, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
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What was the result of Poland vs Croatia?
Poland and Croatia drew 3-3 on October 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′P. ZielińskiPoland
- 19′B. SosaCroatia
- 24′P. SučićCroatia
- 26′M. BaturinaCroatia
- 45′N. ZalewskiPoland
- 68′S. SzymańskiPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Croatia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2024 | France(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Austria(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2024 | Albania(home) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Poland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Croatia 1-0 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 16, 2008 | Poland 0-1 Croatia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Poland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Croatia | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy