Italy vs Israel: result 4-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Full time
What was the result of Italy vs Israel?
Italy won 4-1 on October 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 41′M. ReteguiItaly (pen.)
- 54′G. Di LorenzoItaly
- 66′M. Abu FaniIsrael
- 72′D. FrattesiItaly
- 79′G. Di LorenzoItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Israel have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Israel(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | France(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | France(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Italy(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2024 | Belarus(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Hungary(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Italy win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Israel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Israel 1-2 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Italy 1-0 Israel | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Israel 1-3 Italy | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Israel score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Israel | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy