Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hřiště Polanka nad Odrou, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Polanka nad Odrou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
Frýdek-Místek starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polanka nad Odrou have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Frýdek-Místek have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karviná II(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Šternberk(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polanka nad Odrou win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Frýdek-Místek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou 0-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Frýdek-Místek 0-2 Polanka nad Odrou | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polanka nad Odrou score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polanka nad Odrou | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polanka nad Odrou sit 17th in 3. liga - MSFL (1 points from 4 matches) and Frýdek-Místek sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Polanka nad Odrou.
- Where and when is Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek played?
- Polanka nad Odrou vs Frýdek-Místek is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hřiště Polanka nad Odrou, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.