Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stovky, Frýdek-Místek
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Vrchovina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Frýdek-Místek (1,844) and Vrchovina (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdek-Místek have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Vrchovina have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Líšeň II(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Blansko(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Frýdek-Místek win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Vrchovina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek 1-1 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Vrchovina 4-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Vrchovina 0-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Frýdek-Místek 3-1 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| May 28, 2022 | Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Vrchovina | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Vrchovina 0-0 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vrchovina score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Vrchovina | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdek-Místek sit 7th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Vrchovina sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Vrchovina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Vrchovina.
- Where and when is Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina played?
- Frýdek-Místek vs Vrchovina is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stovky, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.