Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Polessya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Polessya (1,948) and Dynamo Kyiv (2,014).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polessya win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Dynamo Kyiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Polessya 1-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 4-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | Polessya 0-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-0 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Polessya 3-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Polessya.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.