Polessya vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Polessya starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Polessya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Polessya 0-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Polessya 2-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Polessya 3-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Persha Liga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-2 Polessya | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi played?
- Polessya vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.