Where and when is Muangthong United vs Police Tero played?

Muangthong United vs Police Tero is played on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Muangthong United vs Police Tero: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong United

Police Tero

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Police Tero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Police Tero?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,474).

Muangthong United win60 %

Draw23 %

Police Tero win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Police Tero have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

Police Tero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)	1-3	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Chanthaburi(away)	1-1	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Phrae United(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Chainat(away)	1-2	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Police Tero win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2024	Muangthong United 3-1 Police Tero	Thai League 1
Oct 22, 2023	Police Tero 2-1 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Mar 11, 2023	Muangthong United 1-0 Police Tero	Thai League 1
Oct 16, 2022	Police Tero 2-1 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Mar 6, 2022	Police Tero 0-2 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Oct 23, 2021	Muangthong United 2-1 Police Tero	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Police Tero on Mar 31, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Police Tero score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15
Police Tero	1.2	1.9	1	12/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Police Tero	34	15	8	11	50	44	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Police Tero?: The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Police Tero.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Police Tero played?: Muangthong United vs Police Tero is played on October 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.