Police vs Rayon Sports: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kigali Pelé Stadium, Kigali
The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Police. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs Rayon Sports?
Rayon Sports starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Rayon Sports have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 9, 2026 | Musanze(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 6, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Rayon Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Police 0-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Rayon Sports 0-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2025 | Police 0-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Rayon Sports 2-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Rayon Sports 2-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Police 1-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Police vs Rayon Sports on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rayon Sports score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Rayon Sports | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 6th in National Soccer League (52 points from 34 matches) and Rayon Sports sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rayon Sports | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 56 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs Rayon Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Police.
- Where and when is Police vs Rayon Sports played?
- Police vs Rayon Sports is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kigali Pelé Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.