Polissya II vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Oleksandria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polissya II vs Oleksandria?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Polissya II (1,654) and Oleksandria (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polissya II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Oleksandria have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chernihiv(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inhulets(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Polissya II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polissya II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polissya II sit 15th in Persha Liga (2 points from 4 matches) and Oleksandria sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Polissya II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polissya II vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab model makes Polissya II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Oleksandria.
- Where and when is Polissya II vs Oleksandria played?
- Polissya II vs Oleksandria is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.