Oleksandria vs UCSA: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)CSC Nika, Aleksandriya
The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for UCSA. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oleksandria vs UCSA?
Oleksandria starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,618).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oleksandria vs UCSA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oleksandria
4-3-3- 9M. Tretyakov
- 44Jhonnatan Silva
- 25O. Kozak
- 21R. Tolochko
- 14R. Kuzmin
- 30Y. Kopyna
- 5O. Dykhtyaruk
- 3V. Adamyuk
- 2T. Dmytruk
- 4N. Gavrylyuk
- 33A. Klishchuk
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 71Ruan Santos
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 42D. Makhnev
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 12A. Kovalev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oleksandria have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; UCSA have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Oleksandria win, 1 draw, 0 UCSA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCSA 4-4 Oleksandria | Persha Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | UCSA 1-4 Oleksandria | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Oleksandria score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oleksandria sit 3rd in Persha Liga (19 points from 11 matches) and UCSA sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 19 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Oleksandria vs UCSA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oleksandria vs UCSA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for UCSA.
- Where and when is Oleksandria vs UCSA played?
- Oleksandria vs UCSA is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at CSC Nika, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.