Match

Pollok vs Auchinleck Talbot: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Newlandsfield Park, Glasgow

PollokAuchinleck Talbot

The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Pollok. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pollok vs Auchinleck Talbot?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Pollok (1,659) and Auchinleck Talbot (1,741).

Pollok win33 %
Draw23 %
Auchinleck Talbot win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pollok have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Auchinleck Talbot have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pollok
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026 Johnstone Burgh(home)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Newton Stewart(away)2-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Dalbeattie Star(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026Renfrew(away)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Troon FC(home)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Auchinleck Talbot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Albion Rovers(away)3-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 19, 2026Beith(home)7-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Largs Thistle(away)0-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Cumbernauld Colts(home)1-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Newton Stewart(away)9-0Football League - Lowland League

How many goals should we expect?

Pollok score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Auchinleck Talbot score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pollok2.11.358/1510/15
Auchinleck Talbot3.01.156/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pollok sit 5th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 5 matches) and Auchinleck Talbot sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Auchinleck Talbot650126515
5Pollok541013413

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pollok vs Auchinleck Talbot?
The Footlab model makes Auchinleck Talbot the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Pollok.
Where and when is Pollok vs Auchinleck Talbot played?
Pollok vs Auchinleck Talbot is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Newlandsfield Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pollok and Auchinleck Talbot

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