Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A · Matchday 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, Ponte da Barca
The Footlab AI model makes Maia Lidador the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ponte da Barca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maia Lidador wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Ponte da Barca (1,805) and Maia Lidador (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ponte da Barca
Not enough data to predict the Ponte da Barca lineup.
Maia Lidador
Not enough data to predict the Maia Lidador lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Ponte da Barca have 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Maia Lidador have 3, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 5-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ponte da Barca win, 0 draws, 0 Maia Lidador wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maia Lidador 0-1 Ponte da Barca | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Maia Lidador vs Ponte da Barca on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte da Barca score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 13; Maia Lidador score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte da Barca | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/13 | 6/13 |
| Maia Lidador | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte da Barca sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (10 points from 7 matches) and Maia Lidador sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ponte da Barca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Maia Lidador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maia Lidador the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ponte da Barca.
- Where and when is Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador played?
- Ponte da Barca vs Maia Lidador is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.