Vinhais vs Tirsense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, Vinhais
The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Vinhais. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tirsense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vinhais vs Tirsense?
Tirsense starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vinhais vs Tirsense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vinhais
Not enough data to predict the Vinhais lineup.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Vinhais have 0 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Tirsense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vinhais wins, 0 draws, 1 Tirsense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tirsense 3-0 Vinhais | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Vinhais score 0.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 11; Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhais | 0.5 | 3.1 | 0 | 6/11 | 10/11 |
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vinhais sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (0 points from 4 matches) and Tirsense sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Vinhais vs Tirsense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vinhais vs Tirsense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tirsense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Vinhais.
- Where and when is Vinhais vs Tirsense played?
- Vinhais vs Tirsense is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.