Pontedera vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontedera vs Varesina?
Varesina starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontedera vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontedera
Not enough data to predict the Pontedera lineup.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontedera have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Varesina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Crema(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontedera score 0.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontedera | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontedera sit 18th in Serie D - Girone D (3 points from 8 matches) and Varesina sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 3 |
A question about Pontedera vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontedera vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Pontedera.
- Where and when is Pontedera vs Varesina played?
- Pontedera vs Varesina is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ettore Mannucci, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.