Coriano vs Pistoiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Coriano. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coriano vs Pistoiese?
Pistoiese is a heavy favourite: 1,934 Elo points against 1,631, a 303-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coriano vs Pistoiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coriano
Not enough data to predict the Coriano lineup.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coriano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pistoiese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Coriano win, 0 draws, 1 Pistoiese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pistoiese 0-1 Coriano | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Coriano 0-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Coriano score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriano | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coriano sit 14th in Serie D - Girone D (5 points from 6 matches) and Pistoiese sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Coriano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Coriano vs Pistoiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coriano vs Pistoiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Coriano vs Pistoiese played?
- Coriano vs Pistoiese is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.