Tarbes vs Les Herbiers: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Les Herbiers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarbes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Les Herbiers?
On Elo ratings, Tarbes has 1,724 points and Les Herbiers 1,836.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Les Herbiers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Les Herbiers
4-3-3- 11A. Vincent
- 13R. Denis
- 17A. Fiquet
- 2B. Brélivet
- 9J. Billy
- 8B. Lebas
- 3A. Tégar
- 4M. Lopy
- 10J. Rissonga
- 14Y. Letard
- 1B. Rempp
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Les Herbiers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chauray(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tarbes win, 2 draws, 0 Les Herbiers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers 0-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 28, 2015 | Les Herbiers 1-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Tarbes 2-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Les Herbiers vs Tarbes on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Les Herbiers score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Les Herbiers | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 7 matches) and Les Herbiers sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Les Herbiers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Tarbes vs Les Herbiers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Les Herbiers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Les Herbiers.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Les Herbiers played?
- Tarbes vs Les Herbiers is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.