Pontivy GSI vs Dinan Léhon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy
The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Dinan Léhon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Dinan Léhon?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,742) and Dinan Léhon (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Dinan Léhon have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Vannes(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Vire(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ergué-Gaberic(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pontivy GSI win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dinan Léhon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Dinan Léhon 2-2 Pontivy GSI | National 3 - Group K |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Pontivy GSI 1-2 Dinan Léhon | National 3 - Group K |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Pontivy GSI 2-1 Dinan Léhon | National 3 - Group K |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Dinan Léhon 0-1 Pontivy GSI | National 3 - Group K |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Dinan Léhon 0-2 Pontivy GSI | National 3 - Group K |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Dinan Léhon 2-1 Pontivy GSI | National 3 - Group K |
Last archived meeting: Dinan Léhon vs Pontivy GSI on Apr 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinan Léhon score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontivy GSI | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dinan Léhon | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontivy GSI sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Dinan Léhon sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pontivy GSI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Dinan Léhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Dinan Léhon?
- The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Dinan Léhon.
- Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Dinan Léhon played?
- Pontivy GSI vs Dinan Léhon is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.