Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Marville, Saint-Malo
The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,656).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Malo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Châteaubriant have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saint-Malo wins, 3 draws, 1 Châteaubriant win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Saint-Malo 0-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Châteaubriant 2-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| May 17, 2025 | Saint-Malo 0-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Châteaubriant 3-3 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Châteaubriant 0-3 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Malo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Malo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Malo sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (11 points from 7 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 15th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 | Châteaubriant | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant played?
- Saint-Malo vs Châteaubriant is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Marville, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.