Tarbes vs Chauray: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Chauray. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tarbes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Chauray?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,721) and Chauray (1,656).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Chauray
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Chauray
Not enough data to predict the Chauray lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Chauray have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Avranches(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chauray score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Chauray | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 6 matches) and Chauray sit 16th (1 point from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tarbes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | Chauray | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
A question about Tarbes vs Chauray?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Chauray?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Chauray.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Chauray played?
- Tarbes vs Chauray is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.