Pontypridd Town vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on October 19, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Aberaman Park, Aberdare / Aberdâr, Rhondda Cynon Taf
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What was the result of Pontypridd Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Pontypridd Town won 3-1 on October 19, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2019 | Taffs Well(away) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Goytre United(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Cwmamman United FC(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Swansea University(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Taffs Well(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 0.9 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2019Cambrian & Clydach7-3Ynyshir Albions
- Oct 19, 2019Cwmbran Celtic0-0Pontardawe Town
- Oct 19, 2019Conwy Borough1-2Ruthin Town
- Oct 19, 2019Llantwit Major0-1Llandrindod Wells
- Oct 19, 2019Afan Lido3-1Monmouth Town
- Oct 19, 2019Briton Ferry0-0Undy Athletic
- Oct 19, 2019Haverfordwest County AFC5-3Penlan Club
- Oct 19, 2019Ammanford AFC4-1Cardiff Draconians