Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Berkhamsted wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,843) and Chertsey Town (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berkhamsted
Not enough data to predict the Berkhamsted lineup.
Chertsey Town
Not enough data to predict the Chertsey Town lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southend(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Takeley(away) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Berkhamsted wins, 0 draws, 2 Chertsey Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town 4-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Berkhamsted 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Chertsey Town 0-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Chertsey Town 1-2 Berkhamsted | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (18 points from 14 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 6th (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 26 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
A question about Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Frome TownvsEvesham United
- Mar 26, 2027UxbridgevsHavant & Wville
- Mar 26, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHanwell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Chichester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 26, 2027SholingvsPoole Town
- Mar 26, 2027Yate TownvsChippenham Town
- Mar 26, 2027Gloucester CityvsBracknell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Hanworth VillavsGosport Borough