Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,851) and Chertsey Town (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town 4-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Berkhamsted 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Chertsey Town 0-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Chertsey Town 1-2 Berkhamsted | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Chertsey Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027Frome TownvsEvesham United
- Mar 26, 2027UxbridgevsHavant & Wville
- Mar 26, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHanwell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Chichester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 26, 2027SholingvsPoole Town
- Mar 26, 2027Yate TownvsChippenham Town
- Mar 26, 2027Gloucester CityvsBracknell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Hanworth VillavsGosport Borough