Sholing vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sholing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Poole Town?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Sholing (1,839) and Poole Town (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sholing win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Poole Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town 0-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Poole Town 0-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Sholing 4-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Poole Town 2-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Sholing 0-0 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Poole Town 0-3 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Sholing on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sholing.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Poole Town played?
- Sholing vs Poole Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 26, 2027BerkhamstedvsChertsey Town
- Mar 26, 2027Frome TownvsEvesham United
- Mar 26, 2027UxbridgevsHavant & Wville
- Mar 26, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHanwell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Chichester CityvsWimborne Town
- Mar 26, 2027Yate TownvsChippenham Town
- Mar 26, 2027Gloucester CityvsBracknell Town
- Mar 26, 2027Hanworth VillavsGosport Borough