Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,856) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Plymouth Parkway win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Poole Town 7-0 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Poole Town | FA Trophy |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Poole Town 3-1 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Havant & WvillevsChichester City
- Jan 2, 2027Taunton TownvsYate Town
- Jan 2, 2027Bracknell TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Jan 2, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanworth Villa
- Jan 2, 2027Evesham UnitedvsGloucester City
- Jan 2, 2027Hanwell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 2, 2027Gosport BoroughvsSholing
- Jan 2, 2027Wimborne TownvsUxbridge