Match

Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownPlymouth Parkway

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,856) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).

Poole Town win54 %
Draw22 %
Plymouth Parkway win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Plymouth Parkway
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chippenham Town(away)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Bath City(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bracknell Town(home)7-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 11, 2026Plymouth(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Plymouth Parkway win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Poole Town 7-0 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Oct 25, 2025Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Poole TownFA Trophy
Aug 25, 2025Plymouth Parkway 0-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Mar 29, 2025Plymouth Parkway 3-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 24, 2024Poole Town 3-1 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South
Apr 16, 2024Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth ParkwayNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Plymouth Parkway2.51.5410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Plymouth Parkway42111257
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Plymouth Parkway.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway played?
Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Poole Town and Plymouth Parkway

Ready to know everything about football?