Evesham United vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gloucester City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Gloucester City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Evesham United vs Gloucester City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Evesham United
Not enough data to predict the Evesham United lineup.
Gloucester City
Not enough data to predict the Gloucester City lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gloucester City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mulbarton Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Evesham United win, 2 draws, 0 Gloucester City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Gloucester City 1-2 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Gloucester City 2-2 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Evesham United 1-1 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Evesham United on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (13 points from 11 matches) and Gloucester City sit 19th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Evesham United vs Gloucester City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Gloucester City played?
- Evesham United vs Gloucester City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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